The predictions system projects that current tournament holders Bayern Munich have the best chance of listing the competition with a 30 percent chance, whilst English Premier League leaders Manchester City are next up at 22 percent.
UPDATE: Who will win the #ChampionsLeague?
3⃣0⃣% 🇩🇪 Bayern Munich
2⃣2⃣% 🏴Manchester City
9⃣% 🇪🇸 FC Barcelona
8⃣% 🇪🇸 Atlético Madrid
6⃣% 🇪🇸 Real Madrid
6⃣% 🏴 Liverpool
1⃣9⃣% 🇫🇷🇮🇹🇪🇸🇩🇪🏴🇵🇹 Others#UCL
— Euro Club Index (@EuroClubIndex) February 16, 2021
Then, three Spanish sides have the highest probability although there is a massive drop-off, with Barcelona standing a 9 percent chance, compared to 8 percent at Atletico Madrid and 6 percent of record tournament winners Real Madrid, a probability shared by 2019 winners Liverpool.
Italian champions Juventus are ranked with a 5 percent probability while Europa League holders Sevilla have a 4 percent chance, despite never having previously progressed beyond the quarter-final stage in their history.
Spanish sides have dominated the competition in recent years – winning six of the last 10 editions of the tournament.